U.S. economy: recession not yet here, but increasingly likely

The economic situation remains very uncertain. It is rightly pointed out, for example, that the labor market is still robust. But the first dark clouds are already gathering on the horizon, even for the labor market.

German economy is in recession

Germany’s gross domestic product shrank by 0.2% in the fourth quarter. However, a severe winter recession, which was feared in the autumn, has become less likely. Nevertheless, the risks to the economy remain high. I am somewhat more pessimistic regarding economic growth in 2023 than some of my colleagues.

German economy gets off lightly in the short term

Germany’s gross domestic product shrank by 0.2% in the fourth quarter. However, a severe winter recession, which was feared in the autumn, has become less likely. Nevertheless, the risks to the economy remain high. I am somewhat more pessimistic regarding economic growth in 2023 than some of my colleagues.

What caught my eye: The IMF economic outlook, the oil market in 2023, and the effects of Brexit

The International Monetary Fund published its economic outlook (in my opinion, it is a bit too optimistic):

WordPress Cookie Plugin by Real Cookie Banner