The economic situation remains very uncertain. It is rightly pointed out, for example, that the labor market is still robust. But the first dark clouds are already gathering on the horizon, even for the labor market.
Category Archives: U.S. Economy
What caught my eye: Private debt, crypto assets, global value chains, and much more…
“Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research”
What caught my eye: Language models for economics, the crypto crash, and what is a trade agreement?
“Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research”
U.S. economy: Recession likely despite robust labor market
Recession, yes or no. That has been the big question for several months now.
What caught my eye: The IMF economic outlook, the oil market in 2023, and the effects of Brexit
The International Monetary Fund published its economic outlook (in my opinion, it is a bit too optimistic):
Political paralysis in the United States likely – also a problem for Europe?
After the midterm elections in the U.S., there is hardly any time to take a deep breath on the political level.
U.S. economy remains robust, but recession likely next year
I expect a mild recession, but only a sluggish recovery thereafter at the end of 2023 and in 2024.
What caught my eye: The US-China trade conflict, workers and commuting, climate scenarios for central banks, and much more…
As always when Chad Bown publishes a piece, I can only recommend it!
U.S. economy: Surprisingly robust development with inflation still high
Recession, yes or no? Many economists have been pondering this question.
What caught my eye: Monetary policy post-pandemic, investment treaties, the financial stability implications of digital assets, and much more…
Does the digital financial system create new potential challenges to financial stability?