Just a year ago, Europe was happy to have gotten through the energy price shock and the threat of energy supply bottlenecks. The deep recession feared by some economists did not materialize. Somewhat surprisingly, this relief quickly turned into pessimism.
Tag Archives: united states
US economy: on course for a soft landing so far – political risks are high
The presidential elections are coming up in the United States this year. This is reason enough to take a closer look at the US economy.
Global Economy Remains Weak
The world’s largest economies – the United States, China, and the Eurozone – will all grow only moderately, dampening global economic growth.
U.S. Economy: Slowdown ahead
The US economy has been robust so far and grew strongly in the summer. However, there is now likely to be a slowdown.
Global economy faces a difficult winter half-year
The global economy expanded solidly in the second quarter of 2023, but without much momentum. I expect Europe – especially Germany and the United Kingdom – to experience a recession in the winter half-year.
U.S. Economy: robust so far, but cooling ahead
The economic engine is now likely to stutter somewhat.
U.S. Economy: Still solid for the moment, but the slowdown will come
The economic engine is now likely to stutter somewhat.
Debt dispute over, but: the US economy will cease to be a global economic engine for now
The US politicians have once again made things exciting.
U.S. Economy: Banking crisis will lead to contraction of the economy
The U.S. economy is in turmoil and exposed to high risks. The banking stress, the debate about raising the debt ceiling, higher interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and the weakening global economy are likely to lead to a recession this year.
Global economy faces sluggish recovery
The global economy will recover only sluggishly this year with growth of 2.8 percent and next year of 3.4 percent, especially as no tailwind is expected from monetary and fiscal policy.