Eagle and Bear Economist

This blog primarily focuses on structural changes in the global economy, including international economic developments, demographic shifts, geoeconomic fragmentation, and climate change.

Do not hesitate to contact me: info@eagle-economist.com

Wird verarbeitet …
Erledigt! Sie sind auf der Liste.

Recent blogs posts

What caught my eye: U.S. inflation, artificial intelligence and education, the chip landscape, and much more… 

In November, U.S. inflation was somewhat lower than expected (2.7% compared with November 2024). It will be interesting to see whether the downward trend continues in January. For the moment, caution is warranted. The government shutdown directly affected data collection and economic indicators. Currently, it’s challenging to accurately interpret the U.S. economy. The BLS report will…

US Economy – Surprisingly robust, but the labor market has cooled

The US economy is currently experiencing significant challenges. Despite these challenges, it has performed surprisingly well given the high uncertainty regarding tariff policies, and also actually higher tariffs. However, we expect what we call a mild stagflationary episode, in which meager economic growth and somewhat elevated inflation will occur together. Due to the shutdown in the U.S.,…

What caught my eye: Knowledge and growth, factories of ideas, and much more…

Highly recommended! “Knowledge, technology, and growth: Joel Mokyr, Nobel laureate” by Ran Abramitzky and Mauricio Drelichman. “One core message of this extensive body of research is particularly timely: economic progress is critically dependent on open intellectual inquiry, on the free exchange of ideas, and on a vigorous defence of scientific principles.” Highly interesting (and potentially…

Previous blog posts


Contact me by email: info@eagle-economist.com

Wird verarbeitet …
Erledigt! Sie sind auf der Liste.

If you would like to support my blog posts and economic forecasts, you can subscribe for 5 US dollars per month (or the equivalent amount in your currency). You can unsubscribe at any time:  

Consent Management Platform by Real Cookie Banner