Germany’s gross domestic product shrank by 0.2% in the fourth quarter. However, a severe winter recession, which was feared in the autumn, has become less likely. Nevertheless, the risks to the economy remain high. I am somewhat more pessimistic regarding economic growth in 2023 than some of my colleagues.
Category Archives: World Economy
What caught my eye: The IMF economic outlook, the oil market in 2023, and the effects of Brexit
The International Monetary Fund published its economic outlook (in my opinion, it is a bit too optimistic):
The German economy may experience a mild recession, but a severe one can still not be excluded
The German economy is proving remarkably robust under challenging conditions, even though the economic situation remains gloomy.
German economy: Deep recession can probably be avoided, but outlook remains gloomy
The German economy is probably facing a recession, even if the outlook has recently improved somewhat.
Political paralysis in the United States likely – also a problem for Europe?
After the midterm elections in the U.S., there is hardly any time to take a deep breath on the political level.
German economy in recession: not deep, but the worst is yet to come
The German economy continues to face fierce headwinds from the energy crisis, high inflation rates, and the cooling global economy.
What caught my eye: The US-China trade conflict, workers and commuting, climate scenarios for central banks, and much more…
As always when Chad Bown publishes a piece, I can only recommend it!
German economy may already be in recession
The energy crisis, high inflation and the cooling global economy are fierce headwinds for the German economy.
UK economy: A really hard winter and a slow recovery
The UK economy is currently in deep troubles during these days
What caught my eye: Monetary policy post-pandemic, investment treaties, the financial stability implications of digital assets, and much more…
Does the digital financial system create new potential challenges to financial stability?